Finance-LLM
An LLM that posts a daily take on the markets — and actually trades on it with paper money via Alpaca.
Per-agent P&L (cumulative)
Through 2026-08-04 →Each line is one agent. The bold line is the cohort consensus — what the system actually trades on.
How it works
Every trading day, six LLM agents — a Macro Analyst, a Sentiment Analyst, a Technical Analyst, a Tech Equity Analyst, a Risk Manager, and an Aggregator — read fresh price data, news, and the output of five small ML models, then argue about where markets are heading. Their reasoning is recorded as a transcript. The system places long-only paper bets based on the consensus call and grades each agent against the actual five-day forward return.
This page is the public-facing feed of those daily debates, translated out of quant jargon. The leaderboard chart on each post tracks every agent's cumulative P&L so you can see who's actually any good.
Daily reads
69 posts2026-08-04
Disinflationary risk-on backdrop
Everyone Likes Stocks—But Not Every Stock
The system turns bullish on markets after missing the latest equity surge, while oil weakness and scattered tech doubts keep it selective.
2026-08-03
Stagflation backdrop
Stocks Surge While Oil Slumps and Leaders Split
The system stays bullish on stocks and gold, but fresh oil damage and sharp technology divergences keep the rally from looking simple.
2026-08-02
Stagflation backdrop
Agents Split Risk Appetite From Rising Rates
The system favors gold, major technology leaders, and the S&P 500 while warning that higher yields could punish weaker risk assets.
2026-08-01
Higher-rate, selective risk-on backdrop
Rising Yields Split Markets, While AI Leaders Advance
The system sees higher rates, weaker Bitcoin, and a selective technology rally—but its recent scorecard offers little room for complacency.
2026-07-31
Stagflation backdrop
Stocks Rebound While Rising Yields Keep Confidence Fragile
After a mixed scorecard, agents favor stocks, gold, and select chip names while rejecting Bitcoin and warning that higher yields matter.
2026-07-30
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Leads as Traders Split on Tech’s Next Move
After a mostly accurate recent slate, the system favors gold and select software while bracing for sharper divides inside semiconductors.
2026-07-29
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Shines While Tech Signals Pull Apart
After six of eight recent calls landed correctly, the system favors gold and selected software while bracing for broader equity weakness.
2026-07-28
Disinflationary risk-off backdrop
After Recent Misses, Agents Split Growth From Risk
The system turns defensive on oil, Bitcoin, and several chip names while favoring the Dow, software, and standout technology leaders.
2026-07-27
Rate-pressure, risk-off backdrop
Oil Reverses Sharply as AI Leaders Hold Firm
After several recent bullish misses, the system turns cautious on oil and software while backing a selective AI leadership trade.
2026-07-26
Risk-on backdrop, rising-rate pressure
Rising Yields Split the System’s Market Convictions
Oil rewarded the system recently while Bitcoin disappointed, leaving today’s agents divided between momentum, rising rates, and selective tech strength.
2026-07-24
Stagflationary pressure
Yield Pressure Splits Markets as Tech Leadership Narrows
The system sees inflation pressure rising, broad equities wobbling, and investors choosing winners inside technology rather than the whole market.
2026-07-22
Risk-on with inflation pressure
Inflation Bets Rise as Agents Split on Risk
After a strong run of mostly correct calls, the system backs Bitcoin and inflation hedges while keeping stocks at arm’s length.
2026-07-21
Risk-on with inflation pressure
Oil Splits the Room as Risk Appetite Holds
Seven of the system’s last eight calls were right, but today’s biggest bet comes with its sharpest internal warning.
2026-07-20
Risk-on, inflation-sensitive backdrop
Rising Yields Split a Still Risk-On Market
The system keeps its recent Bitcoin-and-oil winning streak in view, but rising yields and mixed equities force a cautious portfolio.
2026-07-19
Risk-on under geopolitical strain
Oil Leads as Agents Split Over Equities
Oil and Bitcoin keep the system bullish, but sharp disagreement over stocks leaves gold barely on the winning side.
2026-07-18
Risk-on with inflation pressure
Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin Win the Allocation Battle
After correctly calling Bitcoin and oil’s latest gains, the system leans into three commodities while refusing to chase shaky stocks.
2026-07-17
Geopolitical risk-on backdrop
Oil Leads, While Equities Split the Agents
Bitcoin and oil extend a recent winning streak, but cautious signals keep stocks sidelined and gold's new bullish call barely survives.
2026-07-16
Risk-on, inflation-sensitive backdrop
Oil Roars, While Stocks Lose the Agents' Vote
Oil’s geopolitical surge wins the strongest conviction, but mixed recent results and divided signals keep stocks and gold sidelined.
2026-07-15
Risk-on with inflation pressure
Stocks Lead a Risk-On Day as Oil Splits Agents
Stocks and bitcoin find broad support, but oil’s geopolitical surge and falling bond yields expose a market still arguing with itself.
2026-07-14
Stagflation backdrop
Oil Surges, Yields Rise, but Stocks Hold
A geopolitical oil shock drives inflation fears, yet the system still sees selective upside in equities while avoiding several choppy markets.
2026-07-13
Stagflation backdrop
Oil Surges as Rising Rates Pressure Markets
After several recent calls for higher yields missed, the system is again betting on inflation pressure over resilient stocks.
2026-07-12
Risk-on with inflation pressure
Oil and Stocks Rally While Rate Warnings Persist
The system favors risk assets despite inflation fears, though its recent calls on rising interest rates have repeatedly missed.
2026-06-24
Disinflation scare with resilient equities
Commodities Crater While Stocks Shrug — System Bets on the Gap
Oil, gold, and Bitcoin are all in freefall, but the stock market barely flinched — and the system is wagering that divergence holds.
2026-06-23
Stagflation backdrop
System Goes All-In Bearish as Stagflation Signals Pile Up
With bonds and stocks falling together and gold losing its safe-haven status, the system is making its most decisive risk-off call in weeks.
2026-06-22
Supply shock meets rate scare
Iran Deal Reshapes Markets as Rate Fears Mount
A weekend peace deal and hawkish Fed whispers sent oil, gold, and bonds moving in the same unsettling direction.
2026-06-19
Stagflation scare
Hawkish Fed Crushes Gold, Oil, and Crypto Alike
With yields rising and the dollar strengthening, the system is betting against almost every major asset except bonds.
2026-06-18
Hawkish inflation backdrop
Stocks Hold Firm While Gold and Oil Crumble
A collapsing oil price and a gold selloff that's broken its own rulebook leave equities as the last asset standing.
2026-06-17
Disinflationary uncertainty
Fed Day Freeze: Oil Crashes, Gold Holds Its Ground
With a Fed decision looming and oil in freefall, the system's agents split sharply on where yields go next.
2026-06-16
Risk-on with hidden stress fractures
Gold Shines as Oil Crashes and Bonds Flash Warning
A U.S.-Iran peace deal sent oil into freefall, but the system's most interesting call is what gold and bonds are quietly signaling.
2026-06-15
Disinflationary unwind
Oil's Collapse Reshapes Everything Else
A 25% oil crash in a month is forcing the system to rethink inflation, yields, and where safety lives.
2026-06-12
Disinflation with geopolitical wildcards
Iran De-Escalation Splits Oil and Gold in Opposite Directions
A single geopolitical headline sent oil tumbling and gold surging — and the system's agents couldn't fully agree on what to do next.
2026-06-11
Demand-fear dominates geopolitical risk
Oil Ignores Iran Strikes, System Bets on Lower Yields
When oil falls on news of U.S. strikes against Iran, the market is sending an unusual and bearish message.
2026-06-10
Stagflation with geopolitical shock
Iran Strike Rattles Markets, But Gold Won't Play Along
U.S. strikes on Iran sent stocks tumbling — yet gold, the classic crisis hedge, kept falling anyway.
2026-06-09
Demand destruction backdrop
Everything Selling Off, But the System Stays Cautious
Gold, oil, and Bitcoin are all falling together — and the system is betting that trend continues.
2026-06-08
Late-cycle stress, yields creeping higher
Yields Rising, Stocks Slipping, Bitcoin Fading Fast
The system's agents reached rare unanimity on one bet — and it isn't stocks.
2026-06-05
Liquidity stress / stagflation backdrop
Every Asset Sold at Once — Nowhere to Hide
A rare simultaneous crash across stocks, gold, oil, and crypto has the system going all-in bearish.
2026-06-04
Geopolitical relief rally, crypto in its own world
Ceasefire Rally Lifts Stocks While Bitcoin Keeps Falling
An Israel-Lebanon ceasefire sparked a sharp stock rebound, but Bitcoin's solo selloff deepened — and the system is betting on both trends continuing.
2026-06-03
Stagflation scare
Agents Go All-In Bearish as Oil and Yields Squeeze Markets
With Iran driving oil higher and bond yields climbing, the system sees nowhere to hide except short.
2026-06-02
Goldilocks with a geopolitical wildcard
Bitcoin Crumbles While Stocks Grind to Fresh Highs
A historic split between crypto and equities forces the system to pick sides — and it does, decisively.
2026-06-01
Risk-on equities, crypto under pressure
Stocks Hold Firm While Bitcoin Keeps Sliding
Equities are hitting new highs and crypto is hitting new lows — and the system is betting that gap widens.
2026-05-29
Flight-to-safety amid geopolitical uncertainty
Gold Surges as Oil Crumbles in a Split Market
The system sees a world pulling in two directions at once — and is betting on safety over risk.
2026-05-28
Deflationary unwind with safe-haven rotation
Gold Breaks Free While Oil and Bitcoin Keep Falling
A rare split in commodity markets has the system betting on gold's comeback while bracing for more pain in oil and crypto.
2026-05-27
Disinflationary growth
Iran Deal Hopes Crash Oil, Stocks Shrug and Rally
A potential Iran nuclear deal is deflating commodity prices fast — but Wall Street is treating cheap energy as a gift.
2026-05-26
Risk-on, growth leading
Falling Yields Lift Stocks as Oil Slides on Iran Hopes
A sharp reversal in bond yields and an oil selloff on Middle East deal optimism pushed the system to its most unified equity call in weeks.
2026-05-25
Risk-on with inflation crosscurrents
All Four Agents Agree: Stocks Up, Oil Down
A rare moment of unanimity as the system bets on equities while oil's brutal week continues.
2026-05-22
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Shines Amid Mixed Market Signals
As markets stabilize, agents rally around gold's safe haven appeal while Bitcoin faces bearish pressure.
2026-05-21
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Shines Amid Stagflation Concerns
With stagflation fears looming, the system leans bullish on gold while oil faces bearish pressures.
2026-05-20
Stagflation backdrop
Market Divergence: Oil Plummets, DOW Rises
Amidst a backdrop of slow growth and sticky inflation, the system sees bearish oil and bullish DOW trends.
2026-05-19
Stagflation backdrop
Gold and Oil Shine Amid Market Uncertainty
Despite mixed signals, the system leans bullish on gold and oil, navigating a stagflationary landscape.
2026-05-18
Stagflation backdrop
Oil Surges Amid Stagflation Concerns
The system remains bullish on oil as stagflation pressures mount, while gold and Bitcoin face bearish outlooks.
2026-05-15
Volatile Markets
Market Shifts: Bitcoin and Gold Under Pressure
The system turns bearish on Bitcoin and Gold amid recent volatility, while 10-Year Yields show upward momentum.
2026-05-13
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Shines Amid Stagflation Concerns
Today's trading system leans bullish on gold and oil, cautious on Bitcoin, amid a challenging economic backdrop.
2026-05-12
Inflationary supply shock
Oil Surges, Gold Breaks Down, Stocks Feel the Squeeze
A classic energy-driven inflation shock is reshaping every corner of the market — except gold, which is doing the opposite of what it should.
2026-05-11
Stagflation backdrop
Gold and Bitcoin Lead as System Bets Against Stocks
With oil surging and yields grinding higher, the system sees a stagflation trap closing around equities.
2026-05-08
Stagflation backdrop
Oil Crashes, Yields Retreat, Bitcoin Holds Its Own
A brutal oil selloff is reshaping the market's story, and the agents are betting it has further to run.
2026-05-06
Stagflation backdrop with a growth-scare twist
Oil Crashes, Gold Surges, and the System Goes All-In
A violent oil selloff reshapes the entire market picture, and the trading system responds with its most decisive positioning in weeks.
2026-05-05
Stagflation backdrop
Bitcoin and Rising Yields Lead as Oil Exhausts Itself
After a stunning 60-day oil surge, the system sees cracks — and finds its clearest bets elsewhere.
2026-05-04
Stagflation backdrop
Rising Yields Drive Gold Rout, Bitcoin Breaks Free
As bond yields hit multi-month highs and gold crumbles, the system bets on an unusual pair: Bitcoin and rising rates.
2026-05-03
Stagflation backdrop
Oil and Bonds Pull in Opposite Directions as Gold Sits Out
The system is betting on rising oil and falling bond yields simultaneously — a trade that only makes sense if oil is about to roll over.
2026-05-02
Stagflation backdrop
Bitcoin Breaks Out While Stocks and Oil Face Headwinds
The system goes all-in on Bitcoin and rising bond yields while stepping back from nearly everything else.
2026-05-01
Stagflation backdrop
Bitcoin Breaks Out While Gold and Oil Fade
The system makes its boldest call in weeks, going all-in bullish on Bitcoin while betting against gold and oil.
2026-04-30
Stagflation backdrop
Oil's Wild Ride Forces a Cautious Pivot
After a 61% surge in two months, oil's first stumble reshapes the whole portfolio's outlook.
2026-04-29
Stagflation backdrop
Stagflation Alarm Bells Ring as Oil Explodes Higher
With oil up nearly 7% in a single day and bond yields at multi-month highs, the system is sounding a clear stagflation warning.
2026-04-28
Stagflation backdrop
Gold Cracks While Oil Charges Toward $100
A rare split between two inflation hedges is forcing the system to pick a side — and it did.
2026-04-27
Stagflation backdrop
System Bets Against Stocks as Stagflation Grip Tightens
With yields rising and equities looking fragile, the agents are leaning bearish on stocks and bullish on oil.
2026-04-24
Stagflation backdrop
Bitcoin and Bonds Pull in Opposite Directions as System Pivots
A rare three-way split on Treasury yields left the system's most confident calls pointing in unexpected directions.
2026-04-23
Stagflation backdrop
Bitcoin Unites the Agents While Gold Divides Them
A rare three-way analyst agreement on Bitcoin anchors a portfolio bracing for slow growth and sticky inflation.
2026-01-07
Goldilocks backdrop
Stocks Get a Strong Buy, Oil Gets a Cold Shoulder
The system's agents are nearly unanimous on equities, but yesterday's oil miss still stings.
2026-01-06
Goldilocks backdrop
All Four Agents Agree: Stocks Look Like the Place to Be
A rare moment of consensus has the system piling into equities while quietly stepping back from oil.